France is a stable two-tier semi-presidential regime, traditionally resting on a two-party system. However, in our new report, titled “excuse My French (elections)”, we claim the upcoming presidential election can signal new, significant developments.
Top French politicians - François Hollande, Nicolas Sarkozy and Manuel Valls - have been voted out or opted not to run again. Weak economic performance, political defiance and antiestablishment rhetoric - at home and abroad - have caused a blatant lack of forward visibility.
The stigma of a “lost decade” could be at stake.
On Tuesday, February 14, 2017, Category:
Flowers that bloom for 24 hours. Chocolate hearts sold and consumed by the kilo. Love packaged and marketed en-masse.
Let us be honest. St Valentine’s Day is magic in a neatly wrapped box. It’s an industry and a massive one for that matter. For retailers and chauffeurs and rose growers worldwide, it is a day to celebrate revenues or bemoan declining margins.
As it happens it is also the day where we serve a fresh batch of our Global Sector Reports
. Think of it as a bouquet of sorts.
Yes, it’s our way of courting you.[Read more]
On Friday, January 20, 2017, Category:
Keywords: Business Environment, Economic Outlook, Western Europe, China, United States, Emerging Markets, Gross Domestic Product (GDP), Growth, Inflation, Political Risk, Protectionism
picture courtesy of JD Hancock, flickr.com licensed under CC2, creativecommons.org.licenses/by/2.0
As much as we like to share the awe and wonder the global economy has in store for economists, we have to spell out one harsh truth. 2017 will neither be MARVEL-lous, nor comic, nor super. That is what our latest report and infographic, titled “Superheroes, Sidekicks and Villains”, has to say about “the Guardians of the Economy”.
On Thursday, December 29, 2016, Category:
It took you over a year to get it out of your head. Your kids have stopped obsessing about it; they even managed to ask Santa Claus for something else than Elsa and Ana.
I just felt the last blog post of 2016 had to be special, given how special (yes, this is an understatement) 2016 has been for companies around the world. No need to dwell on it, right? Let’s move on.
On Sunday, December 25, 2016, Category:
Keywords: Business Environment, China, Basic Materials, Country Risk, Credit, Currency, Emerging Markets, Exchange Rate, Exports, Growth, Investment, Monetary Policy, Overcapacities
“The more you eat, the less flavor; the less you eat, the more flavor.” - Chinese Proverb
There was a time, and not so long ago, when China’s growth outweighed everything else. Year in year out, the appetite for ever bigger GDP rose (see chart below). That is no longer the case.
While China’s economy expands, the pace and nature of growth are changing. Gone are the days of unfettered industrialism. Services are on the rise, manufacturing is fast becoming more fine-tuned. The rebalancing should lead to a healthier economy in the long run. But in the short term, it is sometimes a cause for perplexity, even confusion.
To tackle head on the economic challenges China faces, our new report suggests a more refined diet. It is based on five doses of vitamin C. Each of these is unique as it derives from a different source and aims at a specific effect. All are linked.
Here’s the list: