Economic Research

Our role at Euler Hermes & Allianz Economic Research is to be a look-out post, analyzing key economic, political and social trends that shape the future of businesses worldwide

All economic publications

What we do

We publish

+ 400

pieces a year

We support

+ 15K

clients, prospects and partners in decision making

We monitor and rate

240

countries and 18 sectors

 

We rely on three pillars: country risk analysis, sector risk analysis, and insights on key thematic trends, with trade, insolvency and payment behavior as the main focuses. Our work serves internal clients (CEO and regional CEOs, finance, risk underwriting, marketing, communication…) as well as external ones (EH insured and prospects, brokers, partners) and is regularly featured in tier-1 media worldwide. 

Economic Research Publications

Country risk analysis

Our country risk reports and interactive map help you make decisions about international business activity. Use these contents to make decisions with confidence.

Euler Hermes’ country ratings aim to assess the risk of payment disruption in any of 240 countries, 70 of which are updated every quarter. The final rating is a combination of: a Medium-term rating (AA to D) measuring economic imbalances, the quality of the business climate and the likelihood of political hazards; and a Short-Term Rating (1-4) which focuses on the next 6-12 months through macroeconomic indicators that signal a financial crisis due to a disruption to financing flows.

Sector risk analysis

Discover Euler Hermes' analysis of the risk of non-payment by companies in 18 sectors across 70 countries around the world.

Euler Hermes also updates its sector risk ratings every quarter. Sector risk ratings measure the risk of non-payment for 18 sectors in 70 countries, with a view on demand, profitability, financing and competition risks in each country. The result is a 4-scale risk level from Low – sound fundamentals with a very favorable or fairly good outlook to High – imminent of ongoing crisis.

Insights

Euler Hermes has developed an expertise on thematic research, with its unique proprietary Global Insolvency Index (GII) which assesses the development of business insolvencies in more than 40 countries. We also monitor payment behavior with our Day Sales Outstanding (DSO) indicator. Finally, we look at trade-related topics, digitalization, and future corporate and public policy trends in areas such as mobility, Environmental and Social and Governance (ESG) and insurance.

 

Country Risk Map

Our ratings aim to assess the risk of non-payment by companies in a given country, and thereby support our clients in making informed decisions about their international business activity. Our methodology consists of analyzing hundreds of economic indicators, both quantitative and qualitative, to provide the best understanding of the economic, political, business environment, commercial and financing risks.