Country Risk Ratings & Analyses

Use the country credit ratings to plan and manage your international trade. Our analysis is your best guide to making decisions with confidence.

 

What is a Country Risk Analysis?

A country risk rating measures the risk of non-payment by companies in a given country. This risk is due to conditions or events outside any company's control. Knowing a country's risk, can help you make better decisions when trading internationally.

The overall country analysis is based on two elements:

Medium-Term Rating (Country Grade)

The country grade measures economic imbalances, the quality of the business climate, and the likelihood of political hazards. It is based on a six-level scale, AA (lowest risk) to D (highest risk). The rating is a combination of:

  1. The Macroeconomic Rating
  2. The Structural Business Envrionment Rating
  3. The Political Risk Rating

Short-Term Rating (Country Risk Level)

The country risk level identifies more immediate threats by focusing on the direction of economic output in the next 6-12 months by using macroeconomic indicators that can signal finanical crisis as a result of a disruption to finanical flows. It is based on a scale ranging from 1 to 4, with 1 being the lowest risk level and 4 being the highest risk level.

  1. The Financial Flows Indicator
  2. The Cyclical Risk Indicator
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