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ECB Strategy Review: Easy does it!
23 January
Today’s ECB meeting was uneventful when it comes to the short-term monetary policy outlook as all policy rates remained unchanged and the pace of monthly QE purchases was confirmed at EUR 20bn.
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U.S. energy: Black not gold
23 January
The U.S. energy sector, particularly shale oil, is highly leveraged.
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Russia: External account - more a story of oil and less of sanctions
20 January
The strong decrease in Russia’s current account surplus in 2019 has been confirmed.
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China: The slowdown is managed, but not over
17 January
China’s GDP growth came in unchanged at +6.0% y/y in Q4 2019.
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U.S.-China trade deal: No biggie, but de-escalation confirmed
16 January
The U.S. will halve its 15% tariff on about USD120 billion of Chinese goods and suspend planned duties that were set to take effect last December.
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France: I did it my way
16 January
Exports faced a sudden stop during the last months but a partial recovery should be expected in key export champions as latest output, orders and inventories data was reassuring for them.
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U.S.: Labor market weaker than expected, and slowing
16 January
The economy created +145k jobs in December, softer than expectations of +160k, and the prior two months were revised down a total of -14k.
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Emerging Markets: Secular stagnation in key countries
16 January
Manufacturing activity in Emerging Markets (EM) remained in contraction mode for the eighth month in a row.
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