December 07 2018 • Catharina Hillenbrand-Saponar, Alexis Garatti, Abdul Rahman Kassab
As the parties to COP24 gather in Katowice to agree on implementing the Paris agreement, there could be a step up towards the reality of assets having to leave the market and others coming to displace them.
December 03 2018 • Ludovic Subran
As the holiday season starts, it’s time to reflect on what 2018 brought to us, and what 2019 holds in store.
December 03 2018 •
Worldwide private household liabilities reached a historic high of EUR 39.8 trillion in 2017.
December 03 2018 • Manfred Stamer
Higher oil prices versus new U.S. sanctions
December 03 2018 • Alexis Garatti
President Trump is a different kind of negotiator: Inside the Maximax strategy of the US President
December 03 2018 • ERD Team
2018-2019: Looking back, looking forward
December 03 2018 • Ana Boata
European policymakers need to make considerable progress on the precautionary tools (ESM) and on finalizing the Banking Union
December 03 2018 • Mahamoud Islam
Three shocks weigh on the outlook: US protectionism, currency and financial market weaknesses; Authorities are stepping up their support with a wide range of measures and economic growth is likely to be resilient; Corporates are expected to be faced with a more diverse sales outlook, higher risks related to re-leveraging non-payment risk
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As expected the Eurogroup presented their proposal for ESM reform ahead of the 13-14 December EU Summit.
Economic news has been volatile. Real personal consumption expenditures rose +0.4% m/m in October to +2.9% y/y, and like holiday sales, it’s solid but unexciting.
Real GDP growth accelerated to +0.8% q/q in Q3, up from +0.2% in Q2.
In January 2018, Emerging Markets (EM) open to trade (from Asia, Eastern Europe and Latin America) recorded their highest aggregate Manufacturing PMI since March 2011, well in the growth territory.
Q3 GDP grew +2% q/q annualized as expected, to a +2.1% y/y rate, but the details were mixed.
In contrast to its Eurozone peers the Greek economy saw economic growth accelerate in Q3 2018 with GDP expanding by +1% q/q after +0.4% q/q in the previous quarter.
Growth edged up to +0.6% q/q (+2.2% annualized) in Q3, after a recession in H1 (-0.7% in Q1 and -0.1% in Q2).
Economic growth slowed to +7.1% y/y in Q3 (after +8.2% in Q2) due to a lower contribution of net export and a slower expansion of private consumption.
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