March 08 2019 • Dan North
This month’s employment report shows unexpected and conflicting results and presents a perfect opportunity to explain how it is produced.
March 01 2019 • Dan North
Q4 GDP rose 2.6% q/q annualized, beating expectations of around 2.2%. GDP for all of 2018 rose 2.9%, tying with 2015 for the highest of the nine year recovery. Consumption was slightly disappointing, but nonetheless grew 2.8%. Net exports were the only negative component, subtracting -0.2% from the headline while government spending added +0.1%.
February 20 2019 • Euler Hermes
Utilizing effective credit management techniques is essential in ensuring late payments don’t jeopardize your business. Visit Euler Hermes to learn how to determine the creditworthiness of your customers and avoid payment issues.
February 20 2019 • Dan North
The economy created +66.8k jobs in January, far greater than expectations, despite headwinds of delayed investment from NAFTA negotiations, the drag of the B20 mortgage rules, and plummeting prices for Canadian oil. On a y/y basis, jobs are growing at a stiff +1.8%, the fastest in over a year.
February 13 2019 • Mike Bond
If bonds on telegraphic order are the predecessors of electronic bonds of today, surety has not advanced that much since the days of the American Bonding Company. We aren’t using telegraphic orders and fax machines are rare (though not extinct). But how many bond agencies still have IBM Selectric typewriters to fill out bond forms?
February 06 2019 • Euler Hermes
While the economic signs seem to be pointing toward slower growth with the possibility of a recession, there is still time for the economy to correct itself and shift away from these more troubling trends.
February 06 2019 • Euler Hermes
Learn about trade credit insurance coverage, from what it is to what commercial trade credit insurance policies include, from Euler Hermes. Visit us today to find out how we can help protect your business from non payment.
January 14 2019 • Dan North
The economy performed very well in 2018. GDP growth, expected to be 2.9% for the year, tied 2015 for the strongest of the nine year recovery. Recent growth was particularly impressive in Q2 at 4.2% q/q annualized and 3.5% in Q3. The all-important consumer sector flexed its muscles at 3.8% and 3.6% in Q2 and Q3.
January 02 2019 • Mike Bond
The North American construction market is, after China, the second largest, and the most open and transparent in the world. The magnitude of the construction market opportunity and the low barrier to entry make North America an attractive destination for foreign construction companies.
As the holiday season starts, it’s time to reflect on what 2018 brought to us, and what 2019 holds in store. Looking back we can see the end of synchronization, more populism, selectivity in a volatile environment, and the end of easy money.
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Real GDP contracted by -2.4% q/q in Q4 2018, confirming the (technical) recession we have long predicted. In addition, the figures for previous quarters were markedly revised downwards: to -1.6% q/q in Q3 (from -1.1%); +0.05% q/q in Q2 (previously +0.6%
As expected PM May lost again the vote on the “slightly revised” Brexit deal.
The French export performance surprised on the upside in January 2019 despite growth concerns in Germany and China.